Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.040305 0.043746 0.047352 0.051415 0.055870 0.060608 0.066037
2026-01-11 0.033711 0.038646 0.044137 0.050717 0.058406 0.067131 0.077814
2026-01-18 0.029148 0.034972 0.041789 0.050393 0.061013 0.073757 0.090301
2026-01-25 0.025428 0.031696 0.039350 0.049447 0.062510 0.078963 0.101450
2026-02-01 0.022256 0.028652 0.036751 0.047849 0.062802 0.082450 0.110549
2026-02-08 0.019803 0.026225 0.034618 0.046510 0.063123 0.085797 0.119580
2026-02-15 0.017838 0.024222 0.032805 0.045338 0.063429 0.088985 0.128522
2026-02-22 0.016649 0.023147 0.032117 0.045596 0.065666 0.094975 0.141998
2026-03-01 0.015135 0.021475 0.030431 0.044228 0.065340 0.097085 0.149688
2026-03-08 0.013481 0.019468 0.028096 0.041678 0.062965 0.095805 0.151801
2026-03-15 0.012480 0.018343 0.026963 0.040831 0.063098 0.098358 0.160265
2026-03-22 0.011953 0.017883 0.026783 0.041422 0.065517 0.104711 0.175641
2026-03-29 0.011382 0.017336 0.026454 0.041792 0.067675 0.110947 0.191718
2026-04-05 0.010676 0.016531 0.025667 0.041359 0.068467 0.114962 0.204330
2026-04-12 0.010083 0.015864 0.025052 0.041157 0.069625 0.119706 0.218802
2026-04-19 0.009438 0.015069 0.024171 0.040428 0.069782 0.122654 0.230160
2026-04-26 0.008751 0.014158 0.023034 0.039162 0.068856 0.123512 0.237478
2026-05-03 0.008159 0.013371 0.022055 0.038095 0.068193 0.124779 0.245713
2026-05-10 0.007640 0.012676 0.021185 0.037159 0.067686 0.126273 0.254539
2026-05-17 0.007352 0.012360 0.020954 0.037366 0.069362 0.132157 0.273309
2026-05-24 0.006880 0.011694 0.020060 0.036270 0.068401 0.132657 0.280343
2026-05-31 0.006299 0.010803 0.018714 0.034224 0.065395 0.128714 0.276973
2026-06-07 0.005959 0.010329 0.018098 0.033543 0.065092 0.130368 0.286608